WIN BIGLY: PERSUASION IN A WORLD WHERE FACTS DON\u2019T MATTER<\/p>\n\n\n\n
By Scott Adams<\/p>\n\n\n\n
INTRODUCTION (WHERE I PRIME YOU FOR THE BEST)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WHY I COULD SEE (AND SAY) WHAT OTHER PUNDITS COULD NOT<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n For example, where others saw Trump pushing outrageously impractical and even immoral policies, I saw him using standard negotiating tactics and hyperbole to make it easier to find the middle ground later. And he did.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Cognitive Dissonance<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Confirmation Bias<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n You should never take financial advice from cartoonists, but let me tell you one thing that feels safe to share: If the CEO of a publicly traded company is routinely described as having a \u201creality distortion field\u201d \u2014 as was the case of Steve Jobs\u2014keep an eye on that company. That’s a sign of a Master Persuader.<\/p>\n\n\n\n PERSUASION TIP 2<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Humans are hardwired to reciprocate favors. If you want someone’s cooperation in the future, do something for that person today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n PERSUASION TIP 3<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Persuasion is effective even when the subject recognizes the technique. Everyone knows that stores list prices at $9.99 because $10.00 sounds like too much. It still works.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If I had boringly predicted that Trump would win the election, without any odds attached to it, the public would have easily shrugged it off as another minor celebrity\u2019s irrelevant opinion. But if I make you pause to argue with me in your mind about the accuracy of the 98 percent estimate, it deepens my persuasion on the main point\u2014that Trump has a surprisingly high likelihood of winning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The prediction was designed to attract attention, and it did. It was also designed to pair my name with Nate Silver’s name to raise my profile by association.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Using a little bit of wrongness (my precise 98 percent prediction), I managed to attract more attention than I would have otherwise. And that conferred on me some credibility by association. As long as I was literally in the same sentence with Nate Silver, I would gain some credibility by proximity alone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n And when they were done criticizing Trump for the \u201cerror\u201d of saying he would build one big solid \u201cwall,\u201d the critics had convinced themselves that border security was a higher priority than they had thought coming into the conversation. The ideas that you think about the most are the ones that automatically and irrationally <\/em>rise in your mental list of priorities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Master Persuaders move your energy <\/em>to the topics that help them, independent of facts and reason.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Some mistakes are just ordinary mistakes. But when you see a consistent stream of \u201cmistakes\u201d from a Master Persuader, be open to the possibility that some of those mistakes are about controlling your focus and energy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n FACTS ARE WEAKER THAN FICTION<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/strong>For more science on the topic of how intentional \u201cmistakes\u201d can aid in memory retention, I recommend the book Impossible to Ignore, <\/em>by Dr. Carmen Simon. The gist of it is that you need to surprise the brain or make it work a little extra to form memories. Our brains automatically delete our routine memories fairly quickly. Most of us don’t know what we were doing on this day a year ago. But we easily remember things that violate our expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Anchor<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n For example, a big opening demand in a negotiation will form a mental anchor that will bias negotiations toward that high offer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The High-Ground Maneuver<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The High-Ground Maneuver is a persuasion method that involves elevating a debate from the details on which people disagree to a higher concept on which everyone agrees.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Linguistic Kill Shot<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n A linguistic kill shot is a nickname or short set of words so persuasive that it can end an argument or create a specific outcome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Setting the Table<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Setting the table refers to managing an opponent\u2019s first impressions before negotiations begin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Thinking Past the Sale<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Thinking past the sale a persuasion technique in which a subject is prompted to imagine what happens after a decision has been made, to bias the person toward making the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Want to see something freaky?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Set this book aside and do an Internet search for \u201cthe McGurk effect.\u201d Click on the first video you see. It is short. And it will blow your mind when you see how powerful persuasion can be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Near the start of the clip, you see a close-up of a man’s mouth while he repeats, \u201cBah, bah, bah, bah, bah.\u201d You recognize his lips as forming the B <\/em>in \u201cbah,\u201d and it all makes sense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Then things get weird.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The soundtrack stays the same, but the man moves his lips as if he is forming the sound \u201cfa, fa, fa\u201d instead of \u201cbah, bah, bah.\u201d And while you watch, as if by magic, your brain turns the sound \u201cbah\u201d into \u201cfa.\u201d You know this is an illusion, and you know how they are doing it. And yet it still works. You can go back and forth between the lips that seem to be saying \u201cfa\u201d and the ones that seem to be saying \u201cbah.\u201d In reality, the sound is \u201cbah\u201d all the way from start to finish, but your brain will instantly translate the \u201cbah\u201d into \u201cfa\u201d when the lips on the video are moving as if they are creating an F <\/em>sound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n This is a great example of how visual persuasion is more powerful than auditory persuasion. Our visual sense changes what we are hearing in real time, <\/em>even when we know the illusion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n TULIP MANIA<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Do you remember when citizen Trump once tweeted that climate change was a hoax for the benefit of China? It sounded crazy to most of the world. Then we learned that the centerpiece of politics around climate change\u2014the Paris climate accord\u2014was hugely expensive for the United States and almost entirely useless for lowering temperatures. (Experts agree on both points now.) The accord was a good deal for China, in the sense that it would impede its biggest business rival, the United States, while costing China nothing for years. You could say Trump was wrong to call climate change a hoax. But in the context of Trump\u2019s normal hyperbole, it wasn\u2019t as wrong as the public\u2019s mass delusion believed it to be at the time. <\/p>\n\n\n\n People are more influenced by the direction <\/em>of things than the current state. So Trump changed the direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trump couldn\u2019t fully erase the Hitler illusion until he had another \u201cmovie\u201d to replace it in people\u2019s heads. Trump created the replacement movie (in part) by using a common business persuasion strategy that I call the new-CEO move. Here\u2019s how I described it in my blog after President-elect Trump and VP-elect Pence claimed credit for keeping Ford and Carrier jobs in this country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Posted December 1, 2016<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n So what does a Master Persuader do when he needs to create a good first impression to last for years? He looks around for any opportunity that is visible, memorable, newsworthy, true to his brand, and easy to change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Enter Ford.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Enter Carrier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trump and Pence recognized these openings and took them. Political writers will interpret this situation as routine credit grabbing and exaggerate claims. But business writers will recognize Trump\u2019s strategy as what I will call the new-CEO move. Smart CEO\u2019s try to create visible victories within days of taking the job, to set the tone. It\u2019s all about the psychology.<\/p>\n\n\n\n What I taught you in the past year: Facts don\u2019t matter. What matters is how you feel. And when you watch Trump and Pence fight and scratch to keep their jobs in this country, it changes how you will feel about them for their entire term. This is a big win for Trump\/Pence disguised as a small win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The political press will dismiss Ford and Carrier with fact-checking. But the stock market will be smarter. Experienced businesspeople recognize the new-CEO move and they know how powerful and important it is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The reality one learns while practicing hypnosis is that we make our decisions first\u2014for irrational reasons\u2014and we rationalize them later as having something to do with facts and reason.<\/p>\n\n\n\n PERSUASION TIP 9<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Display confidence (either real or faked) to improve your persuasiveness. You have to believe yourself, or at least appear as if you do, in order to get anyone else to believe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n One of the things we learned in class is that hypnotizing friends and family doesn\u2019t work well because you have too much history and baggage to overcome. People close to you will have trouble getting into the mind-set that you suddenly have a magical new skill. Strangers are more likely to grant you the assumption of credibility, even if you are only a student of hypnosis. And you need the credibility for the hypnosis to work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The reason hypnosis is not a powerful tool for losing weight or quitting smoking is almost humorously simple: You don’t want<\/em> to eat less and you don’t want<\/em> to stop smoking. Smokers and overeaters like both of those things. That’s the whole problem. If people didn’t enjoy eating and smoking, they wouldn’t be doing those things. And hypnosis is only good for getting you what you do want<\/em>. If any part of your mind doesn’t fully embrace the change you want, hypnosis might be the wrong tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n But hypnosis can work well in situations where the subject has no objection to modifying an old behavior. For example, let’s say you want to overcome a specific type of fear. In those cases, the subject has zero desire to keep the fear. The fear provides no pleasure or other benefit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n But sometimes you are working toward a change that has no precondition to overcome, and that’s the best situation. For example, if you were already a well-adjusted person and you wanted to learn how to relax more effectively, hypnosis would be a great tool. In this case, there is no objection to relaxing\u2014the person just doesn’t have the tools to do it well. Hypnosis can provide the right tools.<\/p>\n\n\n\n You’ll be happy to know that hypnosis can’t make people do things they know to be wrong in their waking state. Or at least there are no credible stories of that happening. That makes sense to anyone who has ever been hypnotized. A hypnotized person is actually conscious and aware but deeply relaxed. They can open their eyes and walk out the door at any time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n By now you are wondering if stage hypnosis is real or just a trick. Stage hypnotists seem to make people do embarrassing things in public, and that would appear to violate what I just said about people not doing things while under hypnosis that they would object to if awake. In the case of stage hypnosis, there is a magic trick involved on top of the hypnosis. The magic trick is that you assume that people onstage think the way you think. If you would be embarrassed doing what you see them doing, you assume they feel the same. But they don’t. In any crowd of a hundred people it is easy to find several who are good subjects for hypnosis and also not easily embarrassed by public displays of silliness. The illusion for the audience is that subjects on stage are so deeply under the hypnotist\u2019s spell that they’re acting against their own self-interest by embarrassing themselves in public. The secret to the illusion is that only people who will go onstage in that situation are the ones who know they won’t be bothered by the experience.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I used the hypnosis technique in the paragraph before last that starts with \u201cBy now you are wondering \u2026\u201d The hypnosis technique involves demonstrating that I know what you are thinking at the moment you are thinking it. If I guess right, this creates a little bond between the author and the reader because it feels like I know you as well as I might know a friend. It’s like I’m in your head. That type of personal connection makes whatever I write seem more interesting to you because you naturally care more about a friend than a stranger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n PERSUASION TIP 11<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Guess what people are thinking\u2014at the very moment they think it\u2014and call it out. If you are right, the subject bonds to you for being like-minded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For more tips on writing, I include in appendix B my brief viral blog post on how to be a better writer. <\/p>\n\n\n\n HYPNOSIS SUPERPOWERS<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/strong>For example, if you are familiar with my Dilbert<\/em> comic strip, you might know that Dilbert has no last name. His boss has no name at all. You don’t know the name of Dilbert\u2019s company or what industry it is in. You also don’t know its location. All of that omission is intentional. It is a trick I learned from my hypnosis class. I leave out any details that would cause readers to feel they are different from the characters in the comic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n PERSUASION TIP 12<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n If you want the audience to embrace your content, leave out any detail that is both unimportant and would give people a reason to think, That’s not me<\/em>. Design into your content enough blank spaces so people can fill them in with whatever makes them happiest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Lie Detection<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n For example, if you accused an innocent<\/em> person of a crime, the accused generally responds by immediately denying the accusation and asking what is wrong with you for even asking. But the first reaction of guilty people, usually, is to ask what evidence you have. They need to know what you know so they can either double down on the line or confess. Liars confess only if the evidence against them is airtight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Romance<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n For example, a man who thinks humans are rational creatures might try to attract a woman by being extra nice. That seems reasonable because people like nice people more than they like mean people. But seduction-wise, niceness is boring, and nice people are a dime a dozen. Niceness can get you only so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n A far better seduction strategy would involve participating in any kind of coed group activities at which you happen to excel. When you display any kind of talent, it triggers other humans to want to mate with you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In my book How to Fail at Almost Everything and Still Win Big<\/em>, I talk about the concept of a talent stack. A talent stack is a collection of skills that work well together and make the person with those skills unique and valuable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n My point is that persuasion was more important to the outcome than policies; we just perceive it to be the other way around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the first Republican debate, on August 6, 2015, Megyn Kelly was moderating, and her first question to Trump should have ended his campaign on the spot. Only a few people in the world could have escaped her trap.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Kelly started to frame her dangerous question by saying, \u201cYou’ve called women you don’t like \u2018fat pigs\u2019, \u2018dogs\u2019, \u2018slobs\u2019, and \u2018disgusting animals\u2026\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trump interrupted her by saying, \u201cOnly Rosie O’Donnell.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Kelly finished her question and Trump responded with something about the problem of political correctness. But by then it didn’t matter. The Rosie O’Donnell reference sucked all the energy out of the room. It was a masterstroke of persuasion, timed perfectly, and executed in front of the world. When I saw it happen, I stood and walked toward the television (literally). I got goosebumps on my arm. This wasn’t normal<\/em>. This was persuasion like I have never seen it performed in public. And in that moment, I saw the future unfold. Or I thought I did. It would take another year to be sure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n HOW A MASTER PERSUADER MOVES ENERGY AND FOCUS<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n consider how a normal, mainstream politician would have handled that trap. Most would have stated positive things about women and tried to change the subject. But that would be a failing strategy because there was so much public record of Trump’s past statements about women. It would just keep coming back.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trump didn’t answer the way anyone expected. Trump used his weapons-grade persuasion and stacked together several techniques in a few sentences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n He created an emotion triggering visual image<\/strong> (Rosie O’Donnell)<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trump knew his Republican base has a strong negative reaction to O’Donnell, so he bonded with him on that point. This is the persuasion method known as pacing and leading<\/strong>. First you match your audience\u2019s emotional condition to gain trust, and later you are in a position to lead them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trump also used the High-Ground Maneuver by taking the question out of the weeds of what he said in the past and up to the concept of how much it hurts the world to be bound by such silly political correctness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Inspired by what I saw at the debate, I wrote a blog post that became one of the most viral things I have written. The post was titled \u201cClown Genius.\u201d It was my first step in reframing Trump as a Master Persuader.<\/p>\n\n\n\n High Ground Maneuver<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Pundit 1: <\/strong>Your side didn\u2019t do enough to end street violence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pundit 2: <\/strong>I agree. Luckily we have learned a lot since then. A number of cities experimented with different approaches and some worked better than others. Let\u2019s try to find the best practices and see if we can spread them to other cities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Result: <\/strong>Pundit 1 is framed as the child who has nothing to offer but complaints. Pundit 2 demonstrates an adult understanding of how to solve problems over time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n PERSUASION TIP 13<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Use the High-Ground Maneuver to frame yourself as the wise adult in the room. It forces others to join you or be framed as the small thinkers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Notice I started by fully embracing the criticism from the other side. If you debate the criticism, you stay in a child frame. If you accept it and make a case for learning and improving, you move to the adult high ground and leave the children behind. Whenever you see claims of hypocrisy, you are also likely to see an opportunity for the High-Ground Maneuver.<\/p>\n\n\n\n REASON<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n We’re even emotional about our garbage. Consider the campaign that started decades ago to persuade citizens to recycle. The government can persuade some citizens to recycle simply by saying it is good for the planet. But you get more people to comply by making recycling a semipublic process. Visitors to your house will notice that you either have a recycling bin or not. And you can be sure they will judge you accordingly. And neighbors will see your trash and recyclables sitting by the curb in front of your house on trash pickup day. On its surface, the question of recycling is about resource management. That boring topic wouldn’t motivate many people to comply. But because recycling is semipublic by its nature, and people don’t want to be branded as bad citizens, they recycle when they know they are being watched. People are motivated to avoid social embarrassment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n ANALOGIES<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n While analogies are useful and important for explaining new concepts, here\u2019s the important point for our purposes: Analogies are terrible <\/em>for persuasion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Unfortunately, most people believe that analogies are one of the best<\/em> ways to persuade. That fact goes far in explaining why it seems that every debate on the Internet ends with a Hitler analogy. the phenomenon is so common it has its own name: Godwin’s law. But I doubt many people have changed an opinion just because a stranger on the Internet compared them to Hitler. A direct attack usually just hardens people into their current opinions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n PERSUASION TIP 14<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n When you attack a person’s belief, the person under attack is more likely to harden his belief than to abandon it, even if your argument is airtight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n HOW TO CREATE MENTAL ANCHORS<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The first thing you hear about a new topic automatically becomes an anchor in your mind that biases your future opinions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n You see this technique most often from good negotiators. They open with a ridiculously low or ridiculously high offer to bias other side in that direction. For example, suppose you offer to be my consultant and I have no idea what your services are worth. If the first thing you tell me is that some clients pay you $1,000 per hour, I\u2019m more likely to agree to a higher price than if the first number you told me was $100. The initial number becomes a mental anchor that is hard to move. That’s why you should always be the first to offer numbers, even if you were talking about an entirely different situation<\/em>. (Yes, that works. See Robert Cialdini\u2019s great book Pre-Suasion.)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n For example, let’s say you are trying to sell your business, and neither you nor your potential buyer knows what it is worth. A business is only as good as its future, and the future is unknown. So there is a lot of bias and guessing involved when anyone buys a one-of-a-kind business. If you are the seller of the business, you want to prime the buyer by mentioning the high price paid by someone else in an entirely different context<\/em>. That’s often enough to anchor a person to the high number even though it is a different conversation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For example, if you would be happy to get $5 million for your company it might help to have a casual conversation before the negotiations about a billionaire who bought a $25 million yacht. Once the $25 million figure gets into your buyer’s head – even though it has nothing to do with the company you are selling – it forms an anchor. And it might help you get a higher price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The human brain forms a bias for the things it hears first. If we accept the thing we hear first, it tends to harden into an irrational belief. And then it is difficult to dislodge. If your friends are reinforcing the idea too, it becomes hard as steel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n HABIT<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n If you want to influence someone to try a new product, it helps to associate it with some part of an existing habit. For example, people usually follow a consistent routine of shaving, showering, makeup, hair, brushing their teeth, etc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n PERSUASION TIP 15<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Studies say humans more easily get addicted to unpredictable rewards than they do to predictable rewards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n ASPIRATIONS<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n It isn’t easy to change people’s aspirations, and you would have no reason to try unless the aspirations were somehow harmful or dangerous. But you can improve the power of your persuasion by grafting your story onto people’s existing aspirations. You see this a lot in product marketing. For example, Apple tells you that its products will help you be creative. For many people, being more creative is an aspiration. And some financial services companies tell you they will help you be financially independent. That too is an aspiration for most people.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Margin Note: Be a better man<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n IDENTITY<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The next time someone is doing something you find objectionable, don’t attack that person’s actions. Instead, ask if this is who the person wants to be. Most people think they are good people, even if they sometimes do bad things. If you remind them of their identity, and their aspirations for their identity, you will usually be met with cognitive dissonance and an implied promise to change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Whenever there is mass confusion and complexity, people automatically gravitate to the strongest, most confident voice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n This reminds me a lot of Trump’s strategy of sucking all the energy out of the news cycle until his competition had no way to breathe. If Trump had tiptoed into the election, the mainstream media would have owned him. And they would have treated him like a clown, before moving on to talk about his competition. So Trump didn’t tiptoe. He went in so hard, and so provocatively, that the media had no economic choice but to focus on him. He was pure gold for the press. And because of that, he came to own them, at least in the limited sense of dominating their news cycle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n IS PRESIDENT TRUMP A \u201cNATURAL\u201d PERSUADER?<\/p>\n\n\n\n THE NORMAN VINCENT PEALE CONNECTION<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n the super successful book The Power of Positive Thinking. <\/em>It was a mega-best seller.<\/p>\n\n\n\n LYIN\u2019 TED<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n This was good branding. It was different from anything you have seen in politics and it gave you a reason to pause and wonder why it mattered if the spelling was \u201clyin\u2019\u201d or \u201clying.\u201d it did matter, but only because you stopped and wondered about it. That is an engineered mental pause for persuasion. Trump wants you to stop and think about the choice of \u201clyin\u2019\u201d over \u201clying.\u201d The fact that you spent time thinking about it helps you remember the name. It also uses a trick called \u201cmaking you think past the sale.\u201d In this case the sale is the idea that Ted Cruz lies. You end up accidentally accepting that idea because you spend time thinking about the best way to write \u201clyin\u2019\u201d. That\u2019s strong persuasion engineering.<\/p>\n\n\n\n So if you want to persuade, use visual language and visual imagery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n PERSUASION TIP 18<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Visual persuasion is more powerful than nonvisual persuasion, all else being equal. And the difference is large.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The reason the wall imagery was good persuasion is that it was both simple to understand and memorable, compared with a generic concept such as \u201cborder control.\u201d And it made us \u201cthink past the sale.\u201d In other words, we reflexively assumed the wall would exist because we had imagined it so often and debated its cost. That’s one of the persuader’s most basic and well-known tricks: People automatically gravitate towards the future they’re imagining most vividly, even if they don’t want the future they are seeing. You’ve probably experienced something similar in your own life. When you vividly imagine something you don’t<\/em> want to happen, such as dropping your phone in the toilet, it can (for some people) increase the odds it will happen. Humans are visual creatures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Posted January 26, 2017<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n I’m having a fun time watching President Trump flood the news cycle with so many stories and outrages that no one can keep up. Here’s how the math of persuasion works in this situation:<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1 outrage out of 3 headlines in a week: bad persuasion<\/p>\n\n\n\n 25 outrages out of 25 headlines in a week: excellent persuasion<\/p>\n\n\n\n At the moment, there are so many outrages, executive orders, protests, and controversies that none of them can get enough oxygen in our brains. I can’t obsess about problem X because the rest of the alphabet is coming at me at the same time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n When you encounter a situation that is working great except for one identifiable problem, you can focus on the problem and try to fix it. But if you have a dozen complaints at the same time, none of them looks special. The whole situation just looks confusing, and you don’t know where to start. So you wait and see what happens. Humans need contrast in order to make solid decisions turn into action. Trump removed all of your contrast by providing multiple outrages of similar energy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Participate in activities at which you excel compared with others. People\u2019s impression of you as talented and capable compared with the average participant will spill over to the rest of your personal brand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In business, always present your ideas in the context of our alternatives that are clearly worse. Don’t just sell your proposed solution; slime all the other options with badness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If someone you know is treating a small issue as a big one, remind them what a big problem looks like. That can reframe how they process their small worries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Always remember that people make decisions in the context of alternatives. If you aren’t framing the alternatives as bad, you are not persuading at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n One of the easiest forms of persuasion involves associating one image or idea with another in a way that makes some of the goodness (or badness) of one rub off on the other. That’s the idea behind celebrity endorsements, labeling political opponents Nazis, and marketing in general. But you already knew that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n What you might not know is that each of us is \u201cmarketing\u201d all the time. If you want to be liked and respected, you have to watch your accidental associations. For example, I know people who think bathroom humor is hilarious. I’m not here to judge their sense of humor, as that is subjective. The problem is that these folks think that sharing this sort of humor is nothing more than a laugh. But it is a lot<\/em> more. It is persuasion by association. And if you tell enough bathroom jokes, your friends and family will literally start subconsciously associating you with shit. They might not be aware of the accidental persuasion. The way it manifests is that suddenly your friends feel too busy to get together with you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n When I was younger, I made all of the mistakes of association that I’m mentioning, and more. I figured that if something was funny, or appalling, it needed to be shared, all in the spirit of fun. My more experienced self tries to stick to topics that are interesting, useful, and positive. I still like jokes, obviously, but not the gross kind that lack cleverness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As a general rule, I try to fill my brain with optimistic thoughts in order to crowd out the bad ones that sometimes slip in. This is a form of self-hypnosis, using the power of association. The positive thoughts lift my energy, which in turn lifts my mood, and even my immune system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If you want to make a good first impression, don’t jokingly complain about the traffic on the way over. Try to work into the initial conversation some positive thoughts and images. Any positivity works. If your positivity has some visual imagery, that is even better. As the old saying goes, people won’t always remember what you said, but they almost always remember how you made them feel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n THE MOLE<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Persuaders know that humans put more importance on the first part of a sentence than the second part. Our first impressions are hard to dislodge. And the first impression of those tweets\u2014lots of them\u2014involved imagining Trump winning the election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n GODZILLA GETS IN THE GAME (OR DOES HE?)<\/p>\n\n\n\n By August I was putting a name to Godzilla because I had learned that he had advised President Obama in his 2012 campaign. When I first saw Godzilla\u2019s fingerprints on the election, I had no idea he had ever worked on a presidential campaign. But according to the New York Times<\/em>, he had. The New York Times<\/em> reported in November 2012, after Obama’s unexpected victory:<\/p>\n\n\n\n [The] Obama campaign also had a panel of unpaid academic advisers. The group\u2014which calls itself the \u201cconsortium of behavioral scientists,\u201d or COBS\u2014provided ideas on how to counter false rumors, like one that President Obama is a Muslim. It suggested how to characterize the Republican opponent, Mitt Romney, in advertisements. It also delivered research-based advice on how to mobilize voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n HOW TO CREATE TWO WAYS TO WIN, NO WAY TO LOSE<\/p>\n\n\n\n The next time you are in a discussion about strategy, either in business or in your personal life, listen to everyone else\u2019s suggestions and then top them with a \u201ctwo ways to win, no way to lose\u201d play, assuming your situation allows for that. You\u2019ll find that it ends every strategy discussion. No one picks one way to win and infinite ways to lose if they have an option of two ways to win and no way to lose.<\/p>\n\n\n\n PERSUASION TIP 24<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n If you can frame your preferred strategy as two ways to win and no way to lose, almost no one will disagree with your suggested path because it is a natural High-Ground Maneuver.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Posted July 19, 2010<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n I\u2019m sure you\u2019re all following the iPhone 4 story. If you hold the phone a certain way, it drops calls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In a press conference on the subject, Steve Jobs said, \u201cWe\u2019re not perfect. Phones are not perfect. We all know that. But we want to make our users happy.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Jobs got a lot of heat about his response. Where was the apology? Where was the part where he acknowledged that the buck stops with him, and that Apple made a big mistake that never should have happened? That\u2019s Public Relations 101, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n I\u2019m a student of how language influence people. Apple\u2019s response to the iPhone 4 problem didn’t follow the public relations playbook because Jobs decided to rewrite the playbook. (I pause now to insert the necessary phrase \u201cmagnificent bastard.\u201d) If you want to know what genius looks like, study Jobs\u2019s words: \u201cWe\u2019re not perfect. Phones are not perfect. We all know that. But we want to make our users happy.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Jobs changed the entire argument with nineteen words. He was brief. He spoke indisputable truth. And later in his press conference, he offered clear fixes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Did it work? Check out the media response. There’s lots of talk about whether other smartphones are perfect or not. There’s lots of talk about whether Jobs\u2019s response was the right one. But the central question that was in everyone’s head before the press conference\u2014”Is the iPhone 4 a dud?\u201d \u2014has, well, evaporated. Part of the change in attitude is because the fixes Apple offered are adequate. But those faces easily could have become part of the joke if handled in an apologetic \u201cplease kick me\u201d way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I have long had a name for Jobs\u2019s clever move. I call it the \u201cHigh-Ground Maneuver.\u201d I first noticed an executive using it years ago, and I’ve since used it a number of times when the situation called for it. The move involves taking an argument up to a level where you can say something that is absolutely true while changing the context at the same time. Once the move has been executed, the other participants will fear appearing small-minded if they drag the argument back to the detail level. It’s an instant game changer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For example, if a military drone accidentally kills civilians, and there is a public outcry, it would be a mistake for the military to spend too much time talking about what went wrong with that particular mission. The High-Ground Maneuver would go something like this: \u201cWar is messy. No one wants civilians to die. We will study the situation to see how we can better avoid it in the future.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" WIN BIGLY: PERSUASION IN A WORLD WHERE FACTS DON\u2019T MATTER By Scott Adams INTRODUCTION (WHERE I PRIME YOU FOR THE BEST) WHY I COULD SEE (AND SAY) WHAT OTHER PUNDITS COULD NOT For example, where others saw Trump pushing outrageously impractical and even immoral policies, I saw him using standard negotiating tactics and hyperbole to […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3962,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[238,253,10,242,47],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3961","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-booknotes","category-communication-storytelling","category-leadership","category-psychology","category-relationships"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.mattwkane.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3961","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.mattwkane.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.mattwkane.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.mattwkane.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.mattwkane.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3961"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/www.mattwkane.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3961\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4443,"href":"http:\/\/www.mattwkane.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3961\/revisions\/4443"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.mattwkane.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3962"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.mattwkane.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3961"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.mattwkane.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3961"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.mattwkane.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3961"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}PART 1: WHY FACTS ARE OVERRATED<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
THE MOST IMPORTANT PERCEPTUAL SHIFT IN HISTORY<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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ABOUT FACTS<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Persuasion Vocabulary<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
PART 2: HOW TO SEE REALITY IN A MORE USEFUL WAY<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
HOW STRONG IS PERSUASION?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
MASS DELUSIONS<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
WHEN REALITY BIFURCATED<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
THE MAKING OF HYPNOTIST<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
PART 3: HOW PRESIDENT TRUMP DOES WHAT OTHERS CAN\u2019T<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
PRESIDENT TRUMP\u2019S TALENT STACK<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
TRUMP\u2019S ROSIE O\u2019DONNELL MOMENT<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
THE PERSUASION STACK<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
GO BIGLY OR GO HOME<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
PART 4: HOW TO USE PERSUASION IN BUSINESS AND POLITICS<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
HOW TO DESIGN A LINGUISTIC KILL SHOT<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
HOW TO USE VISUAL PERSUASION<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
HOW TO MAKE PEOPLE IMAGINE YOU AS PRESIDENT<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
HOW TO PERSUADE BY ASSOCIATION<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
HOW TO CREATE EFFECTIVE CAMPAIGN SLOGANS AND LOGOS<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
HOW TO USE THE HIGH-GROUND MANEUVER<\/h3>\n\n\n\n